🎮FIFA WORLD CUP 2026™

World Cup 2026 match simulator

Pick two teams and see who's more likely to win, the most likely scorelines and expected goals. Based on FIFA ranking and tournament form.

Home advantage:

Mexico

expected: 1.55 - 1.26

Czechia

42.9%

27.2%

29.8%

Win Mexico · 42.9%Draw · 27.2%Win Czechia · 29.8%

⚽ Mexico are favorites

2.82

Expected goals

57.7%

Both teams score

53.5%

Over 2.5 goals

8.7

Corner kicks

4.6 · 4.1

1-1

12.9%

2-1

9.1%

1-0

8.1%

1-2

7.4%

2-0

7.2%

0-0

7.2%

Probability of N total goals

Statistical model (Poisson–Dixon-Coles) for entertainment, based on FIFA ranking and recent form. Not a prediction nor a betting tool.

How does it work?

📊

Each team has an attack and defense strength based on its FIFA ranking and recent World Cup form.

🎯

We compute the exact scoreline distribution with a Poisson model plus Dixon-Coles correction for low scores.

⚽

You get win, draw and both-teams-score probabilities plus the most likely scorelines instantly.

Find flights and hotels near each venue, and check the schedule and venues.